This #12 Ford has finished 6th or better in six of the eight 550hp package races this season and has the 5th-most fastest laps here at Michigan over the last two years. As I discussed in my preview on Thursday, Kevin Harvick has the best history and the most to gain by winning. This slate locks on 2/26/23 at 3:45 p.m. He ranks seventh in both laps led (316) and fastest laps (207) despite a slow start to the season. Bell could be a little underused in tournaments because his practice times werent the best. I will have Reddick in the Garage just in case he dominates again Sunday. 2 Spot, Pala Casino 400: Fontana Picks, Odds & Race Preview, Daytona 500 Picks, Predictions, and Race Preview, Duel at Daytona Odds, Picks, & Predictions: Setting the Grid for Sunday, March 2023 Sports Calendar: Let the Madness Begin. Thats why Im willing to go against my model here and bump them up. Picking Denny Hamlin for your team will not guarantee a win in your fantasy league, but picking him will help your chances of not losing since most of the other team owners will more than likely have him as well. Get more NASCAR DFS advice here. The bonus picks are changing for the 2022 season and will revolve around four head-to-head matchups each race weekend. FireKeepers Casino 400 at Michigan: NASCAR DFS Picks, Top 500 Fantasy Baseball Dynasty Rankings, Fantasy 101: How to Play Rotisserie Baseball, 2023 Fantasy Baseball Position Eligibility, Fantasy EPL 101 How to Play Draft Premier League. Last year, Busch finished 9th in Stage #1, won Stage #2, had the 4th best Total Speed Ranking, led 13 laps and then finished 7th when the checkered flag waved. Speedweeks provided a shockingly profitable start to the NASCAR season for me. Copyright 1995 - 2023 Auto Club DraftKings DFS Tournament Picks. Reddick completely dominated the race at Auto Club in February. Tyler Reddick ($9,100)Career at Auto Club: 2 starts, 0 wins, 0 top fives, 0 top 10sAverage finish at Auto Club: 17.5. Chase Elliott 3. Fantasy sports are one of the most popular activities among sports fans, and NASCAR has it own fun fantasy sports system. Kyle Larson ET . Kyle Larson 2. Unlike Blaney, I dont mind being equal or even slightly overweight to the field on Bowman in tournaments. If that happens, youre looking to fill out the rest of your lineup mainly with place differential plays, and maybe one or two high finishing plays. Larson also had the fourth-best average speed across all the intermediate tracks last year, according to ifantasyrace.com. Michigan DraftKings DFS Cash Game Picks Ryan Blaney ($9300): Blaney is in a great cash-game spot here, priced down from the top tier at only $9300. On a good day, Alfredo will post a top 25. Kyle Busch is the 11-2 favorite in the NASCAR at Michigan odds followed by Kyle Larson (6-1) and Chase Elliott (13-2). Terrence Shannon Jr is averaging 17.1 points while shooting 44.1 percent from the field. Here are the picks for the FireKeepers Casino 400. Michigan is usually a pretty green race, so well likely see about 160 green flag laps, which would equal 72 possible DraftKings FPTS for fastest laps. So what are the top NASCAR DFS picks for Sunday's 2022 FireKeepers Casino 400? But its the last time drivers will take on this 2-mile oval, as its set to be reconfigured to a half-mile track in the future. document.getElementById("comment").setAttribute( "id", "a29234cc541813c362a6ef1216053161" );document.getElementById("fe53143262").setAttribute( "id", "comment" ); Save my name, email, and website in this browser for the next time I comment. Give me the fast car at a fast track. We might get two, but with Kyle Larson on the pole this weekend, it could very well be a one-dominator build. In race #1 2020, Busch finished 9th in Stage #1, 6th in Stage #2, had a 6.6 average running position, recorded the 5th best Total Speed Ranking and then finished 5th overall. These are the potential dominators for Sundays race at Michigan, and are listed in the order of likelihood according to my projections: Some surprise dominators that could happen on Sunday include: Alex Bowman, Brad Keselowski, Kevin Harvick, Joey Logano, and William Byron. As the returning winner, he has an excellent chance of breaking Fords eight-race losing streak but should provide a high positional value even if he comes up short of victory.

FanDuel Lineup

,

DraftKingsLineup

. At Michigan, it is incredibly difficult to pass the leader, so its hard to imagine Larson not dominating at least the first half of the FireKeepers Casino 400 on Sunday afternoon. I probably wouldnt pair these two together in one lineup, though, unless youre not including Larson in it. Tenth place scores 34, while 11th gets 32, and decreasing by one from there through 20th. Eat the chalk with Pasta this weekend, especially in cash games. The order is not based on the highest projected fantasy totals, but rather by the value of each driver. Kyle Larson ($11,500) Its always risky to roll with a high-priced pole sitter in DraftKings cash lineups, but this is Kyle Larson were talking about. There are 200 laps scheduled for the FireKeepers Casino 400 on Sunday, which means were looking at 50 DraftKings FPTS up for grabs for laps led. 0 of 7. Did You Notice? On the right side, theyre bringing the same tires that were used in the Kansas and Las Vegas races this year. Sharp NASCAR bettors are at it again, and it appears like sportsbooks didn't learn their lesson from the 2022 season. Get a preview of the field with our Pennzoil 400 odds, and be sure to check back later in the week for a full race preview andbetting picks. Chase Elliott qualifying at 13th also seems like a gift with his prominent run of late and success at superspeedways. Every year I see Fantasy Live players make the same mistake. If you have any thoughts or ideas youd like to share, hit me up on Twitter at @thewonkypenguin. Tyler Reddick 6. and give one of our public leagues a go. Although Chastain didnt have top 10 green flag speed at Auto Club in 2022, he did at both Darlington races, Michigan and Homestead. Hes a three-time winner and currently he has back-to-back 3rd place finishes. This is a very safe cash lineup to use, in my opinion. Justin Carter's DraftKings DFS lineup picks for the NASCAR Xfinity Series Production Alliance Group 300 at Auto Club Speedway. The green flag drops at 3 p.m. Before locking in any NASCAR DFS picks for the 2023 Pala Casino 400, be sure to check out the optimal NASCAR at Fontana DFS strategy and advice from SportsLine's Mike McClure. Joey Logano, Austin Dillon, Daniel Suarez and Denny Hamlin were the only full-time Cup Series drivers who bested Almirolas average finish of 12.3 in these events last year. Tyler Reddick ($7,400) Honestly, I probably like Tyler Reddick a little too much this weekend at Michigan, as this is my favorite tournament play on the slate for sure. Truex posted the fifth-fastest speed in practice and qualified seventh for the race. McClure is also targeting an undervalued driver set to return plenty of value. The NASCAR Cup Series will travel to the Irish Hills of Michigan to compete at Michigan International Speedway. : The Black Cat Auto Club Mystery Thats NASCARs Latest Animal Encounter, Reel Racing: The Evolution of Motorsports Films Across Disciplines, NASCAR Announces New Rules Package for Short Tracks, Road Courses, Dropping the Hammer: NASCARs Days of Future Past. In 2018, Larson had dud results of 17th and 28th. Kyle Busch He has three runner-up finishes on the track and -- along with Erik Jones -- is one of two Michigan natives who will be competing. August 6, 2022 DFS Racing Picks. Before locking in any NASCAR DFS picks for the 2023 Pala Casino 400, be sure to check out the optimal NASCAR at Fontana DFS strategy and advice from SportsLine's Mike McClure. This gives a better idea of how quick a driver and car really are and the top two drivers, Clint Bowyer and Mark Martin, both found there way into the top 10 on race day. Blaney starts 24th because he tagged the wall slightly during his qualifying lap. In the race, Reddick made an unexpected pit stop on lap 25 for a tire issue, and then later on lap 143 he had contact with Preece which damaged the #8. Micah Roberts revealed his NASCAR picks for the Pala Casino 400 2023 on Sunday at 3:30 p.m. Michigan Fantasy Rankings 1) Kyle Larson (Starting 1st) Michigan Bottom Line At Michigan, the road to victory lane will go thru Kyle Larson. Copy this into the source of your page where you want the article to appear: Gambling can be addictive, please play responsibly. Michigan DraftKings DFS Cash Game Picks Ryan Blaney ($9300): Blaney is in a great cash-game spot here, priced down from the top tier at only $9300. On the other hand, Ryan Blaney is of great value, starting in the 24th spot. Jones was the best driver in the four races at Auto Club, Darlington and Homestead, which are universally known for their high tire wear, in 2022, but it was actually Almirola who posted the best average finish of the group in these races. Michigan Fantasy Spin At Michigan, Tyler Reddick has a less than appealing track record but on Sunday, look for him to be a contender. Blaney Youll get to compete against me and some of my colleagues. Turning my attention to NASCAR odds for Sundays Pala Casino 400 (3:30 p.m. In 2019, Busch had a great season and had results of 5th and 6th. If Larson carries the momentum over from last year, he should be fast right off the bat this weekend. The FireKeepers Casino 400 takes place this weekend at Michigan International Speedway and Matt Selz gives you a preview of the races with odds, DFS Strategy, and predictions. There have been eight intermediate races with this package that we can analyze from this season: Homestead, Las Vegas, Kansas, both Atlanta races, both Pocono races, and Charlotte. Kyle Busch is looking for back-to-back wins early in this NASCAR campaign, and sportsbooks like him to do so, putting him atop the Pennzoil 400 odds board ahead of race day. Illinois is averaging 74.2 points while their defense is giving up 65.6 points per game. ET on DraftKings. However, I do like being underweight on him in tournament formats. With one Michigan victory already under his belt in 2011, Busch is still experiencing only successes at the D-shaped oval track. Tyler Reddick 5. Is it possible? Comments from first time commenters are automatically held for moderation by Frontstretch staff. It can be tricky picking the right five drivers each week, but I thought I could offer some advice for tips and drivers to use for this weeks race in Michigan. Kyle Busch is looking for back-to-back wins early in this NASCAR campaign, and sportsbooks like him to do so, It was his best finish at this track, better than what he did with Joe Gibbs Racing. Chastain had finishes of second and third at Vegas last year, while Logano has finishes of second and 10th so far in defense of his Cup Series championship. Michigan has been a stellar track for Larson and on Sunday, look for him to finish in the top five and compete for the win. In the race he finished 3rd in Stage #1, 3rd in Stage #2, had a 5.4 average running position, was the fastest driver late in a run and had the 2nd best Total Speed Ranking. Portions of this content are hidden. The question is, what is his upside? I will use one of my allocations with Rowdy Sunday. This chart measures speed by segments in each race. It only takes one poor finish to ruin your week in fantasy NASCAR, and by steering clear of Ryan Newman, this should help your chances of avoiding a poor finish. We have some tracks that are coming up on the schedule that I think we should win. NASCAR Mailbox: Did We Get Backstage Passes to Kyle Larson Show at Auto Club? So, should you consider a NASCAR at Michigan DFS stack with Keselowski and teammate Chris Buescher, or should your attention be elsewhere? Now, the model simulated the 2023 Pala Casino 400 10,000 times. The gentlemen will start their engines at Michigan International Speedway today, and the lineup is set, with Bubba Wallace sitting in pole position for the first time in his career. That came just four weeks after his first win -- and he also had a runner-up in between -- so Reddick is streaking heading into Michigan. In 2020 #2, Busch started 16th, but he had no trouble advancing in the running order en route to his 4th place finish. 19 team knows they need a win this week. The following chart takes into account the very basics: the starting position and the projected finish of each driver. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbooks lines around the Michigan State vs. Iowa game odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.. He earned the 8th best driver rating and had an 11th place average running position. As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers. I have set up another Free FanDuel contest for our readers to allow everyone to play this nutty little game that adds a lot of excitement to NASCAR races for casual and diehard fans alike. 2022 TOP 200 Fantasy Football Rankings, TOP 200 PPR Cheatsheets TOP 200 PPR Draft / Draft Rankings We are working hard to bring you all the info you'll need for your fantasy NASCAR league. People will use Bowman and Harvick priced just above him, and Bubba Wallace priced slightly below him. In Michigan race #1 2020, Reddick didnt have an incident free race, but came home 18th. Two weeks ago, two of McClure's core picks finished in the top 10: Kyle Larson (fifth place) and Erik Jones, who finished ninth after starting 34th in the grid. Note: Stats below include Cup only at Martinsville Speedway, Bristol Motor Speedway and Richmond Raceway, Kyle Larson ($10,800)Career at Auto Club: 8 starts, 2 wins, 4 top fives, 4 top 10sAverage finish at Auto Club: 13.0. Before we get into this DraftKings article, make sure you check out my FanDuel write-up for Michigan as well (click here) because theres a lot of crossover between these two sites. Visit SportsLine now to see DFS millionaire Mike McClure's complete driver pool for DraftKings and FanDuel, and cash in big on NASCAR DFS. This week, Carl Edwards and Jimmie Johnson are both at 7/1, so picking either of these two drivers as your lead driver could be seen as the safe pick. Erik Jones ($7,700)Career at Auto Club: 5 starts, 0 wins, 1 top five, 3 top 10sAverage finish at Auto Club: 10.2. For a slightly lesser cost, you could fill you teams spot with Newmans teammate and boss, Tony Stewart. 2-Headed Monster: Is Kyle Busch Still Viewed as NASCARs Villain? Trailing Busch is 2021 Cup Series champ Kyle Larson, who finished runner-up in this race last year, but has had a lackluster start to 2023, with finishes of 18th and 29th to kick off the campaign. ET. Fantasy Golf Picks for Arnold Palmer Invitational, Fantasy Live / Driver Group Game Questions. Daytona 500 2023, Fantasy Nascar. Elliott is a legitimate top 5 threat on Sunday and if he can just pick up a handful of dominator points along the way, hes going to be worth taking the risk on in DraftKings at just $9,200 salary. Kyle Larson is on the pole for this weekends race with his teammate, Chase Elliott, slated to start 2nd. Below is my NASCAR DFS lineup picks for the Pala Casino 400 on DraftKings and FanDuel this week. WebSportsLine's Mike McClure, a DFS pro with almost $2 million in winnings, gives his top NASCAR daily Fantasy picks Daytona 500 Betting Odds, Picks, Predictions. The NASCAR Cup Series will travel to Michigan International Speedway (MIS) Sunday for the FireKeepers Casino 400. We havent raced at Auto Club since March of 2020, and we havent raced here at Michigan since August of last year. We are the most customizable, easy-to-use, and feature-rich platform in the industry, offering the greatest fantasy experience for your dynasty, keeper, redraft, and best ball leagues. The emotion of Well, he just cant be this bad runs into the statistical evidence that Well, yes, he can.. Also, check out our full list of best sportsbook promotions for 2023.21+. Ill note, he spent some time running in the top five and legitimately ran as high as 2nd. Before that, McClure highlighted Hamlin at New Hampshire, who finished sixth after starting 14th. Jones also won at Darlington last fall after Busch and Truex had engine trouble. ET, USA). A California native, Joy was raised as a motorsports fan and started watching NASCAR extensively in 2001. His average running position was about 29th! Here are the drivers and latest NASCAR odds included in Group D at Caesars: Erik Jones: -105. Busch himself has four wins and the best average finish among active drivers (besides Jimmie Johnson, whos not in this race). Below is my NASCAR DFS lineup picks for the Pala Casino 400 on DraftKings and FanDuel this week. You can also look at drivers historical stats at Auto Club. Michigan International Speedway is the venue for the 23rd race of the NASCAR Cup Series season (3:00 p.m. Fantasy NASCAR Tips and Picks for Michigan. NASCAR is running the 550hp package this weekend. Be sure to go here and subscribe to my YouTube channel if you havent already. Trying to find a sleeper pick with odds is just a good way to rack your brain because you cant make up your mind of which 50/1 driver you should pick for you team. These are the potential dominators for Sundays race at Michigan, and are listed in the order of likelihood according to my projections: Some surprise dominators that could happen on Sunday include: Alex Bowman, Brad Keselowski, Kevin Harvick, Joey Logano, and William Byron. The green flag drops at 3 p.m. Michigan Track History Kyle Busch is an elite performer at Michigan who currently has nine straight results between 3rd to 10th. ET. That does not mean anything if the Cup Series has another first-time winner. August 6, 2022 DFS Racing Picks. The second race of the NASCAR Cup Series season is the start of the West Coast swing in not-so-sunny California. He does have one other top 10 at Fontana, though: a fifth place back in 2016. The latest in the sports world, emailed daily. The projected finishes are averaged from six different ranking systems. There are only four races left in the Fantasy Live regular season. Keep in mind that theres rain expected most of Saturday, so you might not get to see how drivers will perform in their limited practice time. I will take a chance with the No. Fantasy Racing Tips is not affiliated with, maintained, endorsed or sponsored by NASCAR. Sign Up Now, *Eligible USA locations only. After a glut of drivers in the +1,000-+1,200 range, there's a fairly quick dropoff to the longshots, with just two drivers (Daniel Suarez, +2,500, Bubba Wallace, +3,000) priced between +2,000 and +4,000. Blaney only having three career top 5 finishes at this track is probably going to scare some people away, but trust me: that number could easily be double, he just has trouble finishing sometime. The NASCAR Cup Series will travel to the Irish Hills of Michigan to compete at Michigan International Speedway. Gambling Problem? NASCAR Fantasy Rankings: DFS Picks on DraftKings for NASCAR Cup Series FireKeepers Casino 400 at Michigan Pearce Dietrich gives his picks and ranks his top drivers for Sundays NASCAR Cup Series FireKeepers Casino 400 at Michigan, which locks at 3 p.m. ET, FOX) at Auto Club Speedway, Im taking a very conservative approach for three key reasons: As a result, Im essentially sitting out of Sundays race at Auto Club except for the following group bet thats posted at Caesars Sportsbook. For example, if Christopher Bell started third and won, he would gain two points in addition to his finishing position points, totaling 47 fantasy points. Michigan always puts on a good show and I expect the same this week. In 2022, Stenhouse had the seventh-quickest green-flag speed and earned a top 10 by races end. These were just single lap times, but where the good information lies in the 10 lap average speed. This field is for validation purposes and should be left unchanged. In many of the leagues, drivers are given a monetary value and the team owner only has $100 to pick five drivers to fill out his or her team. Lets not skip the best part myPerfect% metric a metric that tells you how often certain racers appear in the optimal lineup when running 10,000 race simulations. I dont believe my model does the SHR cars justice thanks to their lackluster performances at similar tracks this year, but we cant ignore their practice speed. 9 car for Watkins Glen). Brad Keselowski's first year with RFK Racing hasn't gone as planned as he sits 29th in Cup Series standings after finishing in the top eight in each of the past five years. The only other 2-mile track that used to be on the schedule is Auto Club Speedway. One of the races is on a road course and the other is at Daytona. Since Auto Club is so wide, it may reward Chastains aggressive driving style should he slide around and dive deep under cars. That means Im willing to be more aggressive in choosing fast cars, regardless of where they start, instead of leaning into place differential more. Ohio State is 10-20-0 ATS this season. If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so. All Rights Reserved. That means its the final time we get to play on DraftKings with this layout. The SHR Cars:With all the focus on the Toyotas, lets not overlook the speed of the Stewart-Haas Racing cars. Copyright The talk of the weekend is how the Toyotas dominated practice and qualifying, but for DFS purposes we need to extend beyond the Toyotas and look at the whole field. At Auto Club, the other big 2.0-mile oval visited earlier this year, Reddick had the field covered until he had a flat tire and had Byron crash into him. 1 Trackhouse Racing Team Chevrolet didnt finish well in the first Darlington race, but he placed eighth in the Southern 500 and second at Homestead. MARTIN TRUEX JR. (3): Truex Jr. is nearly in a must win situation. Truex would be the last driver in the playoffs if the playoffs started this week. ET . Chris Buescher: +500. Perhaps a homecoming could do wonders for Keselowski as the Detroit-area native prepares for the 2022 FireKeepers Casino 400 at Michigan International Speedway. Hes fast this weekend, has been fast at similar tracks, and starts close enough to the front to reduce his usage levels. Ty Dillon ($6,600) starts all the way back in in 33rd position at Michigan and finished in the 20th spot there in June. If a driver posts some fast laps in practice and qualifies up front, he needs to be in our lineups. And dont forget about thetools that FantasyLabshas to offer, likeour Lineup Optimizerto effortlessly create up to 150 lineups, or our Lineup Builderif you like to hand-build your lineups. Cole Custer 6. 11 Toyota. The offense is ranked 120th in the league while the defense is ranked 62nd. The DraftKings NASCAR Cup Series AutoTrader EchoPark Automotive 500 at Texas slate locks at 3:30 p.m. AJ Allmendinger ($6,400)Career at Auto Club: 14 starts, 0 wins, 0 top fives, 2 top 10sAverage finish at Auto Club: 19.4. Pictured: NASCAR Cup Series driver Aric Almirola. I think Busch already knows where he is racing next year but the organizations involved are waiting to dot the Is and cross the Ts before they make the announcement. Tip from McGuirk Arena in Mount Pleasant is at 7 p.m. Michigan has been on of Vickers best tracks, with the last three races resulting in three top 10s, including one win and an AFP of 6.67. For the season, Busch ranks fourth in laps led (462) and sixth in pass differential (220). Here are this weekend's picks, courtesy Frontstretch.com 's Joy Tomlinson. Play Erik Jones at $8100. It has been a while since the series has competed on a large intermediate These Vegas odds makers just always seem to know something that we dont and do offer avaluabletool when trying to comprise a NASCAR fantasy team each week. Reddick has two wins this year and he will have a good chance to add a third to his playoff resume Sunday. Illinois is averaging 74.2 points while their defense is giving up 65.6 points per game. Obviously Larson is the favorite to dominate Sundays race, but Chase Elliott has shown flashes of similar speed in this 550 hp package this season. I will use another allocation with the No. Usually the scheduled is filled with 1.5 and 2-mile ovals, but NASCAR decided to replace Kentucky, Chicago and California with road courses. Hes low enough salary-wise that he should hit value if he earns a good result on Sunday. Stay tuned for full race analysis and best bets coming later this week! Fantasy sports are one of the most popular activities among sports fans, and NASCAR has it own fun Ill note, Larson did have a hiccup along the way. He's in a prime position to make a run at the checkered flag and comes at a price that won't break the bank. She's currently an assistant editor while continuing to write daily fantasy and news articles.